League One

League One | Gameweek 26

Jan 2, 2022 at 3pm UK

Globe Arena

Morecambe
4 - 3
Doncaster

Stockton (52', 74'), Obika (83'), Diagouraga (86')
Ayunga (86')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Barlow (7'), Gardner (26'), Olowu (29')
Hiwula (64'), Olowu (84')

The Match

Preview

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We said: Morecambe 2-1 Doncaster Rovers

With Doncaster's dreadful away form to take into account, as well as the potential return of Stockton and McCalmont for Morecambe, we are predicting a home win in this one on Sunday. It is a huge game for both sides considering their current positions, but the hosts will fancy their chances despite their continued troubles in defence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 49.18%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 22.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.

Result
Morecambe	Draw	Doncaster Rovers
49.18%	28.35%	22.47%

Both teams to score 40.4%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.73%

64.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.63%

83.37%

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.5%

26.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.31%

61.69%

Doncaster Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.97%

45.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.04%

80.96%

Score Analysis

Morecambe 49.17%

Doncaster Rovers 22.47%

Draw 28.34%

Morecambe	Draw	Doncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 15.84% 2-0 @ 10.52% 2-1 @ 8.4% 3-0 @ 4.66% 3-1 @ 3.72% 4-0 @ 1.55% 3-2 @ 1.48% 4-1 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.78% Total : 49.17%	1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 11.93% 2-2 @ 3.35% Other @ 0.42% Total : 28.34%	0-1 @ 9.52% 1-2 @ 5.04% 0-2 @ 3.8% 1-3 @ 1.34% 0-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.76% Total : 22.47%