Doncaster1 - 2Oxford Utd
We said: Doncaster Rovers 1-2 Oxford United
The hosts have struggled both offensively and defensively of late, and it is hard to see them getting anything out of the game. We are tipping Oxford United to come out on top, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 50%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 25.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Oxford United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Oxford United.
| Result | ||
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Oxford United |
| 25.7% | 24.31% | 50% |
| Both teams to score 54.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.76% | 47.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.53% | 69.47% |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.48% | 32.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.95% | 69.05% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.07% | 18.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.56% | 50.44% |
| Score Analysis |
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Oxford United |
| 1-0 @ 6.92% 2-1 @ 6.46% 2-0 @ 3.88% 3-1 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 2.01% 3-0 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.55% Total : 25.7% | 1-1 @ 11.51% 0-0 @ 6.16% 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.31% | 0-1 @ 10.24% 1-2 @ 9.58% 0-2 @ 8.53% 1-3 @ 5.31% 0-3 @ 4.73% 2-3 @ 2.99% 1-4 @ 2.21% 0-4 @ 1.97% 2-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.19% Total : 49.99% |
