League One

League One | Gameweek 12

Dec 4, 2021 at 3pm UK

Stadium of Light

Sunderland
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

Dajaku (7')
Wright (13'), Neill (40')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Taylor (36')
Brannagan (5'), Taylor (13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Sunderland and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Sunderland 1-2 Oxford United

Oxford will be boosted by the return of some key players and their confidence will be high having put together a strong run of form in League One and dealing with big hits to their squad. Sunderland are also not in bad form themselves but their run across the end of October and beginning of November shows that there are still weaknesses for Oxford to exploit on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Oxford United
45.98%	25.82%	28.19%

Both teams to score 51.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.16%

51.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.4%

73.6%

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.49%

22.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.91%

56.08%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.01%

32.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.43%

69.57%

Score Analysis

Sunderland 45.98%

Oxford United 28.2%

Draw 25.82%

Sunderland	Draw	Oxford United
1-0 @ 11.07% 2-1 @ 9.16% 2-0 @ 8.26% 3-1 @ 4.55% 3-0 @ 4.1% 3-2 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 1.7% 4-0 @ 1.53% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.16% Total : 45.98%	1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 7.43% 2-2 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.82%	0-1 @ 8.24% 1-2 @ 6.81% 0-2 @ 4.57% 1-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.5% Total : 28.2%