Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 63.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 15.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 0-1 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.