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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Grimsby Town |
32.32% ( -0.14) | 26.44% ( -0.17) | 41.24% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 52.03% ( 0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.35% ( 0.64) | 52.65% ( -0.64) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.7% ( 0.55) | 74.3% ( -0.55) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.55% ( 0.23) | 30.45% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.34% ( 0.27) | 66.66% ( -0.27) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.81% ( 0.45) | 25.19% ( -0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.08% ( 0.62) | 59.91% ( -0.62) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Grimsby Town |
1-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 7.48% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.14% Total : 32.32% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.99% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.47% Total : 41.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 52 |
2 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 40 |
4 | Salford City | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 39 |
6 | Port Vale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 38 |
7 | Notts County | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 37 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 24 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 37 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 35 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | Bromley | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 28 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 23 | 5 | 12 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 27 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 24 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 22 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 22 |
22 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 22 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 18 |
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