Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Gateshead |
45.16% ( -0.05) | 23.73% ( -0.02) | 31.11% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 60.66% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.82% ( 0.15) | 41.18% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.42% ( 0.15) | 63.57% ( -0.15) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.49% ( 0.04) | 18.5% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.28% ( 0.07) | 49.72% ( -0.07) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.43% ( 0.12) | 25.56% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.57% ( 0.16) | 60.43% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Gateshead |
2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.53% Total : 45.16% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.73% | 1-2 @ 7.43% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.4% 1-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 31.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 50 |
3 | Barnet | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 50 |
4 | Gateshead | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 43 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 36 |
9 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
11 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 35 |
12 | Eastleigh | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 34 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 31 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 28 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 25 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 25 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 60 | -43 | 9 |
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