Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 59.58%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for York City had a probability of 19.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a York City win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gateshead | Draw | York City |
59.58% ( -0.27) | 21% ( 0.08) | 19.42% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 57.44% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.33% ( -0.11) | 39.66% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.98% ( -0.11) | 62.01% ( 0.11) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.01% ( -0.12) | 12.98% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.51% ( -0.23) | 39.48% ( 0.23) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.01% ( 0.13) | 33.98% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.33% ( 0.14) | 70.66% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Gateshead | Draw | York City |
2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.58% Total : 59.58% | 1-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21% | 1-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 19.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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