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Championship header 2

League One
Mansfield Town
League One | Gameweek 24
Jan 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
One Call Stadium
Bolton logo

Mansfield
2 - 1
Bolton

McLaughlin (20'), Gregory (39')
Gregory (54'), Cargill (59'), McLaughlin (78'), Lewis (89')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Collins (40')
Cogley (14'), Schon (54'), Santos (72'), Williams (74'), Osei-Tutu (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League One clash between Mansfield Town and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mansfield Town

All competitions
Last Game: Reading 2-1 Mansfield
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League One

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bolton 3-0 Lincoln
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Mansfield Town 2-1 Bolton Wanderers

 Both sides will be looking to make up ground on the playoff spots by taking three points from each other this week, so expect a close-fought contest. It is difficult to see a huge margin of victory for either team given their mixed form, though Mansfield have won two of their last three and only narrowly lost on Sunday, so they may get the win to start 2025 on a positive note. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawBolton Wanderers
38.79% (-0.125 -0.13) 25.28% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 35.93% (0.16399999999999 0.16)
Both teams to score 56.67% (0.156 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.97% (0.195 0.2)47.03% (-0.193 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.73% (0.181 0.18)69.27% (-0.181 -0.18)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.06% (0.021999999999991 0.02)23.93% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.84% (0.031999999999996 0.03)58.16% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.51% (0.184 0.18)25.49% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.66% (0.252 0.25)60.34% (-0.252 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 38.79%
    Bolton Wanderers 35.93%
    Draw 25.28%
Mansfield TownDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.72% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.24% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.06% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.97% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 38.79%
1-1 @ 11.92% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.1% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 8.34% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.15% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.7% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.71% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.65% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.6% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 35.93%

How you voted: Mansfield vs Bolton

Mansfield Town
47.5%
Draw
25.4%
Bolton Wanderers
27.1%
59
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Bolton
3-1
Mansfield
Charles (75'), Adeboyejo (80'), McAtee (85')
Collins (51')
Boateng (34')
Bowery (46'), Evans (59'), Boateng (59'), Oshilaja (90+1')
Boateng (70')
> Preview
Aug 13, 2024 7.45pm
First Round
Bolton
1-1
Mansfield
(Aggregate 1-1 | Bolton win 5-4 on penalties)
Thomason (68')
Evatt (29'), Johnston (39'), McAtee (41')
Keillor-Dunn (83')
MacDonald (28'), Oshilaja (67'), Boateng (78'), Keillor-Dunn (90+3')
Feb 17, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 26
Mansfield
2-3
Bolton
Clarke (65'), Reid (72')
Charsley (2'), Perch (11')
John (79'), Benning (85' og.), Gnahoua (89')
Nov 3, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 11
Bolton
1-1
Mansfield
Sarcevic (90')
Lapslie (57')
Lapslie (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe23155349252450
2Birmingham CityBirmingham22155238172150
3Wrexham24146436181848
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield22134536191743
5Reading2312473933640
6Barnsley2411673633339
7Stockport CountyStockport24108636251138
8Leyton Orient2310493122934
9Mansfield TownMansfield2210482925434
10Bolton WanderersBolton2210483333034
11Charlton AthleticCharlton229672721633
12Lincoln CityLincoln248792830-231
13Exeter CityExeter2394102729-231
14Stevenage228681820-230
15Blackpool237883134-329
16Wigan AthleticWigan227692120127
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham227692123-227
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2374124145-425
19Northampton TownNorthampton2458112339-1623
20Bristol Rovers2364132138-1722
21Crawley TownCrawley2255122440-1620
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2345142443-1917
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2345142242-2017
24Burton Albion2328132037-1714
> League One Full Table


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