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League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 14, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Wigan logo

Bolton
0 - 2
Wigan


Johnston (9'), Santos (14'), Thomason (37')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Taylor (18'), Aasgaard (67')
Smith (20'), Sessegnon (26'), Carragher (72'), Taylor (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 3-1 Huddersfield
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Chesterfield 3-2 Wigan
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-0 Wigan Athletic

Bolton at home is usually a foregone conclusion from the first whistle, as Evatt's men have turned the Toughsheet Community Stadium into a fortress of late, even if they have struggled for clean sheets. As Wigan are out of sorts and looking a bit light up top, their stronghold over the Trotters should cease as Bolton beat the Latics in a competitive game for the first time since 2015. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 54.67%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 22.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawWigan Athletic
54.67% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 23.04% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 22.29% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.95% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.92% (0.033000000000001 0.03)45.08% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.58% (0.032000000000004 0.03)67.43% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.62% (0.024000000000001 0.02)16.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.98% (0.039999999999999 0.04)46.02% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)34.29% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)70.99% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 54.67%
    Wigan Athletic 22.29%
    Draw 23.04%
Bolton WanderersDrawWigan Athletic
1-0 @ 10.16%
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.19% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-1 @ 5.93% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.54% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 2.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.51% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 54.67%
1-1 @ 10.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.04%
0-1 @ 6.01% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.22% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 22.29%

How you voted: Bolton vs Wigan

Bolton Wanderers
81.0%
Draw
14.3%
Wigan Athletic
4.8%
21
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 27
Wigan
1-0
Bolton
Humphrys (69')
Magennis (45'), Smith (60'), Smith (77')

Maghoma (7'), Ogbeta (24'), Thomason (90+2')
Aug 19, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 4
Bolton
0-4
Wigan

Iredale (53'), Jones (72')
Wyke (12', 75'), Humphrys (24', 45+4')
Humphrys (45'), Watts (56'), Adeeko (80')
Apr 2, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 41
Wigan
1-1
Bolton
McClean (7')
McClean (16')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 13
Bolton
0-4
Wigan

Johnston (27'), Santos (64'), Thomason (87')
Keane (6'), McClean (51', 81'), Lang (65')
Cousins (48'), Lang (56'), Pearce (77'), Massey (86')
Aug 24, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Wigan
0-0
Bolton
(Aggregate 0-0 | Wigan win 5-4 on penalties)
Smith (38'), Darikwa (41'), McClean (43'), Power (44'), Pearce (60')
Kachunga (45+1'), Afolayan (75'), Lee (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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