Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 56.74%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 22.86% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.11%) and 3-1 (6.86%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.