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Peterborough United
League One | Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Stevenage

Peterborough
2 - 1
Stevenage

O'Brien-Brady (6'), Poku (90+5')
Wallin (68'), Collins (78'), Dornelly (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Thompson (64')
Butler (24'), Freestone (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 3-0 Peterborough
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Wrexham
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 0-1 Stevenage

Peterborough may have been scoring for fun before being swept aside by Wigan, but Ferguson's men will be ruing the loss of their captain against one of the best defensive sides in the division. Stevenage do not score many themselves, but as was the case in midweek, Revell's side can break the deadlock and shut up shop against their injury-hit visitors to continue their playoff push. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawStevenage
44.75% (0.108 0.11) 25.78% (0.0020000000000024 0) 29.48% (-0.112 -0.11)
Both teams to score 52.86% (-0.073 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49% (-0.067 -0.07)51% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.13% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)72.87% (0.056999999999988 0.06)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.27% (0.022999999999996 0.02)22.73% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.59% (0.033000000000001 0.03)56.41% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.41% (-0.117 -0.12)31.59% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32% (-0.133 -0.13)68% (0.131 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 44.75%
    Stevenage 29.48%
    Draw 25.77%
Peterborough UnitedDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 10.64% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.88% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.48% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.89% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 44.75%
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 7.18% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 8.28% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 29.48%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Stevenage

Peterborough United
22.2%
Draw
22.2%
Stevenage
55.6%
9
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 38
Peterborough
3-1
Stevenage
Burrows (44' pen.), Katongo (64'), Poku (77')
Kyprianou (33')
Freeman (85')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Stevenage
2-2
Peterborough
Wildin (22'), Thompson (30')
Piergianni (34'), Ashby-Hammond (66')
Randall (51'), Jade-Jones (81')
Aug 30, 2022 7.30pm
Group Stage
Peterborough
1-2
Stevenage
Jade-Jones (9')
Knight (50')
J (18'), Piergianni (84')
Reeves (32'), Earley (50')
Aug 23, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
Stevenage
1-0
Peterborough
Reid (90+3')
Taylor (70')

Taylor (2'), Knight (64')
Nov 19, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Peterborough
2-0
Stevenage
Eisa (11'), Jade-Jones (94')
Toney (55')

Fernandez (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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