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Peterborough United
League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Peterborough
3 - 2
Bristol Rovers

Poku (10'), Jade-Jones (33'), Mothersille (63')
Collins (36'), Fernandez (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)
McCormick (75'), O'Donkor (76')
Mola (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-4 Wigan
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 2-0 Bristol Rovers

Peterborough's home form appears to be something of an anomaly given their stellar results on the road so far this season, and considering the Posh won both of their encounters against Bristol Rovers 2-0 last season, recent history is also on their side. While the Pirates will be hoping to bounce back after consecutive league defeats, we expect Peterborough to have too much on the day for their opponents and ascend towards the playoff places. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 52.4%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
52.4% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 22.52% (-0.114 -0.11) 25.08% (0.168 0.17)
Both teams to score 60.15% (0.587 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.25% (0.692 0.69)39.75% (-0.694 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.89% (0.716 0.72)62.1% (-0.718 -0.72)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.73% (0.227 0.23)15.27% (-0.229 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.03% (0.425 0.42)43.97% (-0.428 -0.43)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.99% (0.502 0.5)29.01% (-0.505 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.09% (0.619 0.62)64.91% (-0.621 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 52.4%
    Bristol Rovers 25.08%
    Draw 22.52%
Peterborough UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.32% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-0 @ 7.82% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-1 @ 6.06% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.9% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.75% (0.074 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.85% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.048 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.07% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 52.4%
1-1 @ 10.3% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.071 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.43% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.52%
1-2 @ 6.38% (0.025 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.48% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.39% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.63% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.063 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.4% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 25.08%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Bristol Rovers

Peterborough United
73.3%
Draw
6.7%
Bristol Rovers
20.0%
15
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Peterborough

Thomas (45+2'), Hoole (69')
Randall (41'), Jade-Jones (90+5')
Knight (90')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Peterborough
2-0
Bristol Rovers
Collins (26'), Ajiboye (47')
Collins (15'), Jade-Jones (32'), Knight (54'), Kyprianou (62'), Ajiboye (77')

Evans (56'), Taylor (74')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Third Round
Peterborough
2-1
Bristol Rovers
Szmodics (20'), Mumba (63')
Norburn (79')
Coutts (30' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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