Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.