Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.01%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.