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Crawley Town
League One | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Barnsley

Crawley
0 - 3
Barnsley


Forster (65'), Connell (84')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Pines (12'), Phillips (23', 45+2' pen.)
Pines (13'), Hepburn-Murphy (65'), Connell (85'), Yoganathan (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brighton 4-0 Crawley
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Barnsley 1-0 Sheff Utd
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Crawley Town 1-2 Barnsley

Crawley Town have shown positive signs on their return to League One and should have plenty of optimism under Scott Lindsey, but they may lack the quality to match Barnsley on Saturday and could succumb to a narrow defeat against a Reds side growing in confidence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.01%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawBarnsley
30.73% (0.059999999999999 0.06) 22.81% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 46.46% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Both teams to score 63.84% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.08% (0.058999999999997 0.06)36.92% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.9% (0.065999999999995 0.07)59.1% (-0.064 -0.06)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.3% (0.067000000000007 0.07)23.7% (-0.066999999999997 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.18% (0.094999999999999 0.09)57.82% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.67% (0.00099999999999056 0)16.33% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)45.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 30.73%
    Barnsley 46.46%
    Draw 22.8%
Crawley TownDrawBarnsley
2-1 @ 7.27% (0.008 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 4.01% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 3.49% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 30.73%
1-1 @ 10.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.59% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.87% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.91% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.8%
1-2 @ 9.15% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.36% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.53% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-3 @ 3.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.84% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-4 @ 1.8% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.74% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 46.46%

How you voted: Crawley vs Barnsley

Crawley Town
11.1%
Draw
33.3%
Barnsley
55.6%
9
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2015 3pm
Crawley
5-1
Barnsley
McLeod (45', 73', 83'), Bradley (48'), Elliott (59')
Fowler (45'), Wordsworth (63')
Hemmings (65')
Scowen (52'), Cranie (58')
Aug 9, 2014 3pm
Barnsley
0-1
Crawley

Rose (22')
Jennings (61')
McLeod (82')
Young (29'), Smith (45'), McLeod (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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