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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 62.53%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 16.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
62.53% ( 1.48) | 21.06% ( -0.52) | 16.41% ( -0.97) |
Both teams to score 51.22% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55% ( 0.57) | 45% ( -0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.65% ( 0.55) | 67.35% ( -0.55) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.2% ( 0.64) | 13.8% ( -0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.88% ( 1.26) | 41.12% ( -1.25) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.42% ( -0.84) | 40.58% ( 0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.82% ( -0.77) | 77.18% ( 0.77) |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
1-0 @ 11.08% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.98% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.24) 4-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.13) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.82% Total : 62.52% | 1-1 @ 10% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.99% Total : 21.06% | 0-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.87% Total : 16.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |