EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Barrow2 - 3Bolton
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Barrow and Bolton Wanderers.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Harrogate 0-1 Barrow
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bolton 0-2 Exeter
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Barrow | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
30.55% ( -0.23) | 27.26% ( 0.22) | 42.19% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 48.87% ( -0.74) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.62% ( -0.9) | 56.38% ( 0.9) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.6% ( -0.73) | 77.4% ( 0.73) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.39% ( -0.64) | 33.61% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.75% ( -0.7) | 70.25% ( 0.7) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.61% ( -0.4) | 26.39% ( 0.41) |