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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 62.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 16.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.94%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Barrow |
16.2% ( 0.05) | 20.84% ( 0.01) | 62.96% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 51.46% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.56% ( 0.05) | 44.44% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.19% ( 0.05) | 66.81% ( -0.05) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.49% ( 0.1) | 40.51% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.88% ( 0.09) | 77.11% ( -0.08) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.51% ( -0) | 13.49% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.49% ( -0.01) | 40.51% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Barrow |
1-0 @ 4.94% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 16.2% | 1-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.84% | 0-2 @ 10.96% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.91% ( 0) 0-3 @ 7.32% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.62% 0-4 @ 3.67% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.31% 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.47% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.94% Total : 62.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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