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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 48.6%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Salford City | Draw | Harrogate Town |
48.6% ( -0.09) | 22.59% ( 0) | 28.81% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 63.34% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.97% ( 0.06) | 37.03% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.78% ( 0.07) | 59.22% ( -0.06) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.4% ( -0.01) | 15.59% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.43% ( -0.02) | 44.57% ( 0.02) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.04% ( 0.09) | 24.95% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.41% ( 0.12) | 59.59% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Salford City | Draw | Harrogate Town |
2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.01% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 3.9% Total : 48.6% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.58% | 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.4% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 28.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |