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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Bolton logo

Stevenage
1 - 4
Bolton

Kemp (71')
Revell (32'), Phillips (67'), Wildin (80'), Butler (84')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Santos (13'), McAtee (16'), Adeboyejo (61'), Charles (88')
Sheehan (31'), Johnston (59'), Santos (73'), Southwood (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Stevenage and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 2-0 Stevenage
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-0 Peterborough
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

Bolton will be full of confidence after winning five of their last seven league matches, and we think that they will claim another win in Tuesday's away clash, especially as Stevenage have lost three of their previous four games in the third tier. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.15%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawBolton Wanderers
36.09% (0.060000000000002 0.06) 26.75% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05) 37.15% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.72% (0.17400000000001 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.64% (0.22000000000001 0.22)53.36% (-0.22 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.1% (0.186 0.19)74.9% (-0.185 -0.19)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.6% (0.143 0.14)28.4% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.85% (0.17899999999999 0.18)64.15% (-0.179 -0.18)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.23% (0.099999999999994 0.1)27.77% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.65% (0.128 0.13)63.35% (-0.128 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 36.09%
    Bolton Wanderers 37.15%
    Draw 26.74%
StevenageDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 9.93% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.01% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.25% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.36% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.62% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 36.09%
1-1 @ 12.71% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.89% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 10.1% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 8.15% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.47% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.48% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.77%
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 37.15%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Bolton

Stevenage
12.2%
Draw
10.2%
Bolton Wanderers
77.6%
49
Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Stevenage
0-0
Bolton
Sheehan (75'), Maghoma (76')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Bolton
3-2
Stevenage
Charles (13' pen.), Iredale (49'), Sheehan (70')
Thomason (28'), Iredale (44'), Jerome (64')
Reid (20', 65')
Reid (68'), Sweeney (69')
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 29
Bolton
1-0
Stevenage
John (7')
Thomason (85')
Williams (78')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 13
Stevenage
1-2
Bolton
Pett (44')
Iontton (58'), Pett (62')
Doyle (14'), Crawford (36')
Tutte (54'), Delaney (86'), Sarcevic (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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