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League One | Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
New York Stadium
Stevenage

Rotherham
2 - 0
Stevenage

Hugill (70'), Wilks (73')
Odofin (25'), Tiehi (45'), Rafferty (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Freestone (49'), King (55'), Presley (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Rotherham United and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Rotherham
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 0-2 Cambridge
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Rotherham United 2-1 Stevenage

Rotherham have only dropped points against Wrexham during their last three home matches across all competitions, so we are expecting a competent performance from the Millers this weekend. Stevenage's confidence would have taken a major hit following the midweek loss to Cambridge on home soil, meaning that we cannot envisage the Boro picking up anything tangible from their trip to South Yorkshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawStevenage
39.68% (-0.0019999999999953 -0) 27.2% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 33.13% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 49.91% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.54% (0.0019999999999953 0)55.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.35% (0.0010000000000012 0)76.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67%27.33% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.22%62.78% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.67% (0.0010000000000048 0)31.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.31% (0.0020000000000024 0)67.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 39.67%
    Stevenage 33.13%
    Draw 27.2%
Rotherham UnitedDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 11.1%
2-1 @ 8.36%
2-0 @ 7.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.62%
3-0 @ 3.12%
3-2 @ 2.1%
4-1 @ 1.17%
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2%
Total : 39.67%
1-1 @ 12.89%
0-0 @ 8.56% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.85%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.2%
0-1 @ 9.94%
1-2 @ 7.48%
0-2 @ 5.77%
1-3 @ 2.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.23%
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 33.13%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Stevenage

Rotherham United
40.0%
Draw
50.0%
Stevenage
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Feb 15, 2014 3pm
Nov 16, 2013 3pm
Jan 25, 2011 3pm
Oct 9, 2010 3pm
Rotherham
1-1
Stevenage
Law (45')
Newey (36'), Fenton (59')
Mousinho (82')
Henry (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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