Rotherham3 - 1Newcastle U21s
Holmes (31'), H (41'), Bramall (56'), Hatton (63'), McWilliams (72'), Hugill (72')
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, October 5 at 12pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
We said: Rotherham United 2-1 Newcastle United Under-21s
Rotherham are likely to make wholesale changes for the EFL Trophy fixture, but they should still have enough experience and quality to edge out Newcastle U21s to record a third consecutive victory in all competitions. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 20.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 1-0 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rotherham United | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
58.68% ( 0.11) | 20.7% ( 0.01) | 20.62% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 60.61% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
