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League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
New York Stadium
Birmingham logo

Rotherham
0 - 2
Birmingham


Tiehi (26'), Hungbo (77'), Raggett (84')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Iwata (14'), Stansfield (22')
Iwata (13'), Davies (14'), Cochrane (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Rotherham United and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 3-1 Wrexham
Monday, September 16 at 8pm in League One

We said: Rotherham United 1-2 Birmingham City

Having already defeated Huddersfield this season, Rotherham cannot be written off here. However, Blues are now building up a head of steam and we are backing them to battle their way to another success, even if it is through the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawBirmingham City
30.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 25.84% (0.0040000000000013 0) 43.96% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.05% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.07% (-0.012 -0.01)50.93% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.2% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)72.8% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.97% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)31.03% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.65% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)67.35% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.92% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)23.07% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.09% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)56.91% (0.014999999999993 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 30.2%
    Birmingham City 43.96%
    Draw 25.83%
Rotherham UnitedDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 8.38% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 7.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.8%
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 30.2%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 7.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 10.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.01% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 7.7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.76% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.62% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.38% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 43.96%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Birmingham

Rotherham United
16.7%
Draw
2.8%
Birmingham City
80.6%
36
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Rotherham
0-0
Birmingham
Hugill (51'), Humphreys (52'), Eaves (84'), Peltier (87')
Anderson (63'), Stansfield (76')
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Birmingham
0-0
Rotherham
James (62')
Lindsay (61'), Peltier (71'), Bramall (86')
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Birmingham
2-0
Rotherham
Khadra (5'), Long (35')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Rotherham
2-0
Birmingham
Wood (28', 71')
Rathbone (41')

Deeney (41'), James (45+2')
Apr 18, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 42
Rotherham
0-1
Birmingham

Ihiekwe (57'), Wood (67')
Dean (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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