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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rotherham United | Draw | Birmingham City |
32.6% ( -0.08) | 25.75% ( 0.02) | 41.66% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 54.37% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.31% ( -0.1) | 49.69% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.3% ( -0.09) | 71.7% ( 0.09) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.21% ( -0.1) | 28.79% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.36% ( -0.13) | 64.64% ( 0.13) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.35% ( -0.01) | 23.65% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.25% ( -0.02) | 57.75% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Rotherham United | Draw | Birmingham City |
1-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 32.6% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.23% 0-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 41.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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