Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 77.57%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 8.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.63%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 1-2 (2.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.