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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 77.57%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 8.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.63%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 1-2 (2.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Rotherham United |
77.57% | 14.12% ( 0) | 8.3% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 49.66% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.44% ( -0.04) | 33.56% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.63% ( -0.05) | 55.36% ( 0.04) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.99% ( -0.01) | 7.01% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.36% ( -0.02) | 25.64% ( 0.02) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.41% ( -0.04) | 46.59% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.82% ( -0.03) | 82.17% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Rotherham United |
2-0 @ 11.53% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 8.81% 1-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.81% ( -0) 4-0 @ 6.79% ( 0) 4-1 @ 5.19% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.61% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.76% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.6% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.22% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 3.34% Total : 77.56% | 1-1 @ 6.63% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.37% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 14.12% | 1-2 @ 2.53% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.5% ( 0) 0-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.32% Total : 8.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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