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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Swansea logo

Middlesbrough
2 - 0
Swansea

Latte Lath (45+1', 79')
Ayling (81'), Barlaser (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cooper (78'), Cullen (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 Sheff Weds
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 0-1 QPR
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-0 Swansea City

Middlesbrough have found their rhythm in recent matches and should be confident of easing past Swansea at the Riverside Stadium on Saturday afternoon. The Swans' season is petering out massively, so we are envisaging a poor performance and defeat for the visitors on Teesside during this Championship clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.79%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawSwansea City
49.79% (0.007000000000005 0.01) 23.65% (0.0010000000000012 0) 26.56% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.68% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.32% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)43.68% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.93% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)66.07% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.35% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)17.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)48.26% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.04% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)29.96% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.93% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)66.07% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 49.79%
    Swansea City 26.56%
    Draw 23.65%
MiddlesbroughDrawSwansea City
2-1 @ 9.59%
1-0 @ 9.17% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 7.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.54%
3-0 @ 4.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.4%
4-0 @ 1.99%
4-2 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 49.79%
1-1 @ 11.05%
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.65%
1-2 @ 6.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 6.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 26.56%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Swansea

Middlesbrough
81.5%
Draw
7.4%
Swansea City
11.1%
27
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Swansea
1-2
Middlesbrough
Lowe (59')
Tymon (62'), Paterson (65')
Greenwood (43'), Silvera (78')
Howson (64'), Jones (67'), Latte Lath (90+4')
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Swansea
1-3
Middlesbrough
Piroe (15')
Ramsey (54'), Archer (57'), Akpom (77' pen.)
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Middlesbrough
2-1
Swansea
McGree (14'), Crooks (30')
Mowatt (27'), Crooks (45'), Lenihan (78'), Roberts (84'), Jones (87')
Piroe (79' pen.)
Cabango (74'), Wood (80'), Cabango (87'), Cooper (90+2')
Cabango (87')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Swansea
1-1
Middlesbrough
Obafemi (48')
Wolf (84'), Christie (87')
McGree (46')
Bamba (82')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 21
Middlesbrough
1-0
Swansea
Jones (26')
McNair (70')

Paterson (45')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom6510102816
2Sunderland6501134915
3Burnley6411134913
4Blackburn RoversBlackburn6330126612
5Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd642093612
6Leeds UnitedLeeds632194511
7Swansea CitySwansea631274310
8Watford6312109110
9Oxford UnitedOxford Utd630310829
10Derby CountyDerby63038719
11Norwich CityNorwich62228718
12Middlesbrough62226518
13Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
14Bristol City6222812-48
15Queens Park RangersQPR614189-17
16Luton TownLuton7214611-57
17Hull City613257-26
18Stoke CityStoke620449-56
19Millwall61239905
20Coventry CityCoventry612368-25
21Preston North EndPreston612339-65
22Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds6114612-64
23Portsmouth6033713-63
24Cardiff CityCardiff6015113-121


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