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Birmingham logo
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Fulham logo

Birmingham
0 - 2
Fulham


May (56')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Jimenez (10' pen.), Stansfield (14')
Reed (49'), Traore (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Birmingham City and Fulham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-2 Birmingham
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fulham 2-1 Leicester
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Premier League

We said: Birmingham City 0-2 Fulham

Even though Birmingham have quickly developed a winning formula under Davies, they well and truly rode their luck against Charlton in round one and will face a serious step-up in quality here. Blues should not be blown to smithereens by any stretch, but a place in the third-round draw surely belongs to the Cottagers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Fulham in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fulham.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawFulham
34.63%24.5% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 40.86% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Both teams to score 59.25% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.4% (0.012 0.01)43.59% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.01% (0.012 0.01)65.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.38% (0.007000000000005 0.01)24.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.87% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)59.13% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.6% (0.007000000000005 0.01)21.39% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.61% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)54.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 34.63%
    Fulham 40.87%
    Draw 24.49%
Birmingham CityDrawFulham
2-1 @ 7.98%
1-0 @ 7.38% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 5.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.73%
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.42%
4-1 @ 1.31%
4-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 34.63%
1-1 @ 11.38%
2-2 @ 6.15% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.27% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.49%
1-2 @ 8.78%
0-1 @ 8.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.51% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 3.22%
2-3 @ 3.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.24%
2-4 @ 1.22% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 40.87%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Fulham

Birmingham City
27.5%
Draw
9.2%
Fulham
63.4%
131
Head to Head
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Fulham
6-2
Birmingham
Roberts (10' og.), Kebano (35'), Carvalho (38', 75'), Cairney (43'), Robinson (90+2')
Reed (67')
Sunjic (45'), Gardner (74')
Pedersen (52')
Sep 15, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Birmingham
1-4
Fulham
Deeney (87' pen.)
Chong (48'), Gardner (67')
Odoi (10'), Mitrovic (44' pen., 83'), Wilson (54')
Michael Seri (36')
Aug 24, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Birmingham
0-2
Fulham
Stansfield (26'), Robinson (90+2')
Bryan (50'), Hector (56')
Jul 4, 2020 3pm
Nov 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 16
Birmingham
0-1
Fulham

Bellingham (45'), Clarke-Salter (85'), Roberts (93')
Mitrovic (52')
Mitrovic (45'), Christie (78')
rhs 2.0
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
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3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
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