MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:08:32| >> :600:1094576:1094576:
Charlton Athletic
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Valley
Birmingham logo

Charlton
0 - 1
Birmingham


Gillesphey (6'), Berry (15')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Khela (32')
Anderson (27'), Sanderson (53')
Sanderson (78')
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Charlton Athletic and Birmingham City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 0-1 Charlton
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Reading
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawBirmingham City
40.83% (1.255 1.26) 25.51% (0.111 0.11) 33.66% (-1.371 -1.37)
Both teams to score 55.48% (-0.676 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.61% (-0.745 -0.74)48.38% (0.742 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.47% (-0.686 -0.69)70.52% (0.68000000000001 0.68)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.5% (0.307 0.31)23.49% (-0.311 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.47% (0.44499999999999 0.44)57.52% (-0.448 -0.45)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.52% (-1.183 -1.18)27.48% (1.179 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.02% (-1.55 -1.55)62.97% (1.547 1.55)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 40.83%
    Birmingham City 33.66%
    Draw 25.5%
Charlton AthleticDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 9.35% (0.365 0.37)
2-1 @ 8.75% (0.135 0.14)
2-0 @ 6.77% (0.323 0.32)
3-1 @ 4.22% (0.102 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.27% (0.185 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.53% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.077 0.08)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 40.83%
1-1 @ 12.07% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.46% (0.196 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 8.34% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.8% (-0.213 -0.21)
0-2 @ 5.39% (-0.198 -0.2)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.209 -0.21)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.32% (-0.167 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 33.66%

How you voted: Charlton vs Birmingham

Charlton Athletic
25.0%
Draw
12.5%
Birmingham City
62.5%
8
Head to Head
Jul 15, 2020 6pm
Sep 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 7
Charlton
0-1
Birmingham

Pearce (35')
Bellingham (52')
Davis (82'), Dean (90'), Alvaro (97')
Apr 2, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
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