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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 49.33%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 25.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Bolton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
49.33% | 25.53% | 25.14% |
Both teams to score 50.36% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.3% | 52.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.66% | 74.34% |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.62% | 21.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.63% | 54.37% |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.06% | 35.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.29% | 72.71% |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 11.85% 2-1 @ 9.36% 2-0 @ 9.14% 3-1 @ 4.81% 3-0 @ 4.7% 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 1.86% 4-0 @ 1.81% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.38% Total : 49.32% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 7.68% 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 7.86% 1-2 @ 6.21% 0-2 @ 4.02% 1-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.63% 0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.92% Total : 25.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Walsall | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 18 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
4 | Notts County | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Port Vale | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
10 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
12 | Newport CountyNewport | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
18 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
19 | MK Dons | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
> League Two Full Table |