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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 49.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 24.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
49.45% ( -0.31) | 25.61% ( 0) | 24.93% ( 0.3) |
Both teams to score 49.93% ( 0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.82% ( 0.22) | 53.18% ( -0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.25% ( 0.19) | 74.74% ( -0.19) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.47% ( -0.04) | 21.52% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.41% ( -0.06) | 54.59% ( 0.07) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.62% ( 0.39) | 36.38% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.83% ( 0.39) | 73.16% ( -0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
1-0 @ 12.02% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 49.44% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.85% Total : 24.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 52 |
2 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 40 |
4 | Salford City | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 39 |
6 | Port Vale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 38 |
7 | Notts County | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 37 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 24 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 37 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 35 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | Bromley | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 28 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 23 | 5 | 12 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 27 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 24 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 22 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 22 |
22 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 22 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 18 |
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