National League South | Gameweek 24
Jan 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
Melbourne Cricket Ground
Chelmsford City1 - 0Aveley
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Aveley.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Welling United 0-1 Chelmsford City
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
36
Last Game: Aveley 1-1 Hornchurch
Thursday, December 26 at 1pm in National League South
Thursday, December 26 at 1pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
26
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 60.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Aveley had a probability of 17.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for an Aveley win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chelmsford City in this match.
Result | ||
Chelmsford City | Draw | Aveley |
60.98% ( 0.09) | 21.9% ( -0.04) | 17.12% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 50.02% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.63% ( 0.08) | 47.37% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.41% ( 0.08) | 69.59% ( -0.07) |
Chelmsford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.94% ( 0.06) | 15.05% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.44% ( 0.1) | 43.56% ( -0.1) |
Aveley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.88% ( -0.01) | 41.12% ( 0.01) |