Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 56.56%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Fylde had a probability of 20.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.03%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Fylde win it was 1-0 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Fylde | Draw | Chesterfield |
20.39% ( -0.62) | 23.05% ( -0.05) | 56.56% ( 0.67) |
Both teams to score 52.18% ( -0.77) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.59% ( -0.56) | 47.41% ( 0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.37% ( -0.52) | 69.63% ( 0.53) |
Fylde Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.53% ( -0.95) | 37.47% ( 0.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.75% ( -0.94) | 74.25% ( 0.95) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.45% ( 0.03) | 16.55% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.68% ( 0.06) | 46.32% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Fylde | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.62% Total : 20.39% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.05% | 0-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 10.03% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 9.85% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.01% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 5.91% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 2.71% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 56.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
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