Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.