Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.
Result | ||
Eastleigh | Draw | Aldershot Town |
42.75% ( -0.16) | 25.92% ( 0.01) | 31.33% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 53.31% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.17% ( 0.01) | 50.83% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.28% ( 0.01) | 72.71% ( -0.01) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.38% ( -0.07) | 23.62% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.3% ( -0.11) | 57.7% ( 0.11) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.8% ( 0.11) | 30.2% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.64% ( 0.13) | 66.36% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Eastleigh | Draw | Aldershot Town |
1-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 42.74% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.19% Total : 31.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 24 |
2 | York City | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 21 |
4 | Rochdale | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 20 |
5 | Gateshead | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 20 |
7 | Eastleigh | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 20 |
8 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 16 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 16 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
12 | Woking | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 14 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
15 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
16 | Tamworth | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 13 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 13 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 10 |
20 | Fylde | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 9 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 9 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 8 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 7 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 5 |
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