Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 57.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 20.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Oxford City win it was 1-0 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Oxford City | Draw | Chesterfield |
20.07% ( -0) | 22.66% | 57.27% |
Both teams to score 52.9% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.79% ( -0.01) | 46.21% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.5% ( -0.01) | 68.5% ( 0) |
Oxford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.89% ( -0.01) | 37.11% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.11% ( -0) | 73.89% ( 0) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.11% ( -0) | 15.89% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.89% ( -0) | 45.11% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford City | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 5.84% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.33% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.9% 3-1 @ 1.76% 3-2 @ 1.62% 3-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.66% Total : 20.07% | 1-1 @ 10.75% 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.66% | 0-1 @ 10.84% 0-2 @ 9.98% ( 0) 1-2 @ 9.89% 0-3 @ 6.12% 1-3 @ 6.07% 2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.81% 1-4 @ 2.79% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.38% 0-5 @ 1.04% 1-5 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 57.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
2 | York City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 25 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 24 |
4 | Rochdale | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Gateshead | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 23 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 23 |
7 | Eastleigh | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 21 |
8 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
13 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 15 |
14 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
15 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
17 | Tamworth | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 13 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 10 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
22 | Fylde | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 9 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 5 |
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