Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Chesterfield |
41.16% ( 0.03) | 24.17% ( 0) | 34.67% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 60.45% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.97% ( -0.03) | 42.03% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.56% ( -0.03) | 64.43% ( 0.03) |
Ebbsfleet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.41% ( 0) | 20.59% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.87% ( 0) | 53.12% ( -0.01) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.12% ( -0.03) | 23.87% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.93% ( -0.05) | 58.07% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Chesterfield |
2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.23% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 41.16% | 1-1 @ 11.12% 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.16% | 1-2 @ 7.97% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.04% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.04% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 34.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
2 | York City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 25 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 24 |
4 | Rochdale | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Gateshead | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 23 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 23 |
7 | Eastleigh | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 21 |
8 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
13 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 15 |
14 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
15 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
17 | Tamworth | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 13 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 10 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
22 | Fylde | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 9 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 5 |
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