Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for York City had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.