Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Tamworth |
39.81% ( -1.03) | 25.15% ( 0.29) | 35.04% ( 0.73) |
Both teams to score 57.02% ( -0.87) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.48% ( -1.19) | 46.52% ( 1.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.2% ( -1.13) | 68.79% ( 1.13) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.81% ( -1.03) | 23.18% ( 1.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.93% ( -1.53) | 57.07% ( 1.52) |
Tamworth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.23% ( -0.14) | 25.76% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.29% ( -0.18) | 60.7% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Tamworth |
1-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.14% Total : 39.81% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.42% Total : 35.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 47 |
2 | York City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 45 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 45 |
4 | Gateshead | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 40 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 34 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 34 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 34 |
9 | Rochdale | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
10 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 32 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 32 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
13 | Eastleigh | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 29 |
14 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 28 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
16 | Tamworth | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 26 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 22 |
18 | Fylde | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 22 |
19 | Woking | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 9 |
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