Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for York City had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest York City win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Rochdale |
36.17% ( 0.01) | 26.47% ( -0) | 37.35% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.64% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.8% ( 0.01) | 52.19% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.09% ( 0.01) | 73.9% ( -0.01) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.21% ( 0.01) | 27.79% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.62% ( 0.02) | 63.37% ( -0.02) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.9% ( 0) | 27.1% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.51% ( 0) | 62.49% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Rochdale |
1-0 @ 9.64% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.18% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 36.17% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 7.53% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.42% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.58% 0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.29% 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.14% Total : 37.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 47 |
2 | York City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 45 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 45 |
4 | Gateshead | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 40 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 34 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 34 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 34 |
9 | Rochdale | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
10 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 32 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 32 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
13 | Eastleigh | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 29 |
14 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 28 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
16 | Tamworth | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 26 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 22 |
18 | Fylde | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 22 |
19 | Woking | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 9 |
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