Serie A | Gameweek 16
Dec 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Lazio0 - 6Inter Milan
FT(HT: 0-2)
Calhanoglu (41' pen.), Dimarco (45'), Barella (51'), Dumfries (53'), Augusto (77'), Thuram (90')
Calhanoglu (24'), Bastoni (31'), Aurel Bisseck (44'), Darmian (75')
Calhanoglu (24'), Bastoni (31'), Aurel Bisseck (44'), Darmian (75')
We said: Lazio 2-2 Inter Milan
With both clubs in fine form, an absorbing contest should be in store at Stadio Olimpico, where Lazio are yet to lose this season. Even if the visitors establish a lead, there could well be a late twist: no team have scored more often than the Aquile during the last 15 minutes, while ageing Inter have conceded a league-high 47% of their goals within that same period. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Inter Milan |
32.05% ( -1.07) | 27.19% ( 0.06) | 40.77% ( 1.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.63% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
