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Serie A | Gameweek 11
Nov 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Cagliari logo

Lazio
2 - 1
Cagliari

Dia (2'), Zaccagni (76' pen.)
Noslin (25'), Lazzari (61'), Rovella (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Luvumbo (41')
Adopo (9'), Augello (17'), Mina (29'), Zappa (49'), Luvumbo (64'), Luperto (74')
Adopo (78'), Mina (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Como 1-5 Lazio
Thursday, October 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 0-2 Bologna
Tuesday, October 29 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Lazio 2-0 Cagliari

In their present form, Lazio should ease past a toothless Cagliari side on home turf, where they are particularly tough to beat. The hosts have several attacking weapons to call upon, whereas their struggling visitors average under a goal per game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 62.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 15.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawCagliari
62.85% (0.267 0.27) 21.9% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 15.24% (-0.232 -0.23)
Both teams to score 46.03% (-0.403 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.4% (-0.266 -0.27)50.6% (0.265 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.49% (-0.234 -0.23)72.51% (0.23399999999999 0.23)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.47% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)15.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.55% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)44.44% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.49% (-0.477 -0.48)45.51% (0.477 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.66% (-0.378 -0.38)81.33% (0.379 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 62.85%
    Cagliari 15.24%
    Draw 21.9%
LazioDrawCagliari
1-0 @ 13.16% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 12.25% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.61% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.99% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.54% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.79% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.32% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 62.85%
1-1 @ 10.36% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.07% (0.075 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.8% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 21.9%
0-1 @ 5.56% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.08% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.19% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.07% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 15.24%

How you voted: Lazio vs Cagliari

Lazio
90.2%
Draw
8.3%
Cagliari
1.5%
132
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 24
Cagliari
1-3
Lazio
Gaetano (51')
Makoumbou (52')
Aresti (90+5')
Deiola (26' og.), Immobile (49'), Anderson (65')
Immobile (45+1'), Romagnoli (67'), Vecino (90+2')
Dec 2, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 14
Lazio
1-0
Cagliari
Pedro (8')

Hatzidiakos (12'), Nandez (75')
Makoumbou (27')
Mar 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Cagliari
0-3
Lazio

Altare (18'), Marin (75'), Lovato (90+2')
Immobile (19' pen.), Alberto (42'), Anderson (62')
Marusic (71')
Marusic (89')
Sep 19, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 4
Lazio
2-2
Cagliari
Immobile (45'), Cataldi (83')
Felipe (42')
Pedro (46'), Balde (62')
Caceres (6'), Zappa (61'), Mazzarri (83')
Zappa (90+4')
Feb 7, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Lazio
1-0
Cagliari
Immobile (61')
Correa (69'), Inzaghi (87'), Parolo (87')

Nandez (31'), Pedro (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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