Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 51.43%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 23.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 1-0 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
