Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.