Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.