Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 1-0 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rochdale in this match.
Result | ||
Yeovil Town | Draw | Rochdale |
34.66% ( -0.27) | 26.06% ( 0.01) | 39.28% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 53.85% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.41% ( -0.06) | 50.58% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.5% ( -0.06) | 72.5% ( 0.06) |
Yeovil Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.07% ( -0.19) | 27.93% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.45% ( -0.25) | 63.55% ( 0.25) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.71% ( 0.11) | 25.29% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.94% ( 0.15) | 60.05% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Yeovil Town | Draw | Rochdale |
1-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.83% Total : 34.66% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.54% Total : 39.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 38 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Barnet | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 34 |
4 | Gateshead | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 31 |
6 | Rochdale | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 30 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 25 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 24 |
11 | Eastleigh | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 23 |
12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 22 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 22 |
14 | Tamworth | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 21 |
16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 18 |
18 | Fylde | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 18 |
19 | Woking | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 17 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 16 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 16 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 8 |
> National League Full Table |