Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 36.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Yeovil Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Yeovil Town | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
37.96% ( -0.08) | 25.13% ( -0) | 36.9% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 57.29% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.73% ( 0.01) | 46.26% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.44% ( 0.01) | 68.55% ( -0.02) |
Yeovil Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.97% ( -0.04) | 24.02% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.71% ( -0.05) | 58.28% ( 0.05) |
Ebbsfleet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.4% ( 0.05) | 24.59% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.91% ( 0.07) | 59.09% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Yeovil Town | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.43% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 37.96% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.12% | 1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.88% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 36.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 38 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Barnet | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 34 |
4 | Gateshead | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 31 |
6 | Rochdale | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 30 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 25 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 24 |
11 | Eastleigh | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 23 |
12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 22 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 22 |
14 | Tamworth | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 21 |
16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 18 |
18 | Fylde | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 18 |
19 | Woking | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 17 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 16 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 16 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 8 |
> National League Full Table |