Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barnet in this match.