Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barnet in this match.
Result | ||
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Barnet |
29.32% ( -0.68) | 24.17% ( 0.09) | 46.5% ( 0.59) |
Both teams to score 58.05% ( -0.74) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.84% ( -0.78) | 44.15% ( 0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.46% ( -0.77) | 66.53% ( 0.76) |
Ebbsfleet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.79% ( -0.85) | 28.21% ( 0.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.09% ( -1.09) | 63.91% ( 1.09) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.86% ( -0.07) | 19.13% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.22% ( -0.11) | 50.77% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Barnet |
2-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.74% Total : 29.32% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.17% | 1-2 @ 9.34% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 5.15% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.13% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.22% Total : 46.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 47 |
2 | York City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 45 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 45 |
4 | Gateshead | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 40 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 34 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 34 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 34 |
9 | Rochdale | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
10 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 32 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 32 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
13 | Eastleigh | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 29 |
14 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 28 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
16 | Tamworth | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 26 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 22 |
18 | Fylde | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 22 |
19 | Woking | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 9 |
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