Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldershot Town would win this match.