Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldershot Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | Maidenhead United |
42.46% ( 0.05) | 24.9% ( 0) | 32.64% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 57.24% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.03% ( -0.04) | 45.97% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.73% ( -0.04) | 68.27% ( 0.03) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.34% ( 0.01) | 21.66% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.21% ( 0.01) | 54.79% ( -0.02) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.06% ( -0.06) | 26.94% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.73% ( -0.07) | 62.27% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | Maidenhead United |
2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.49% Total : 42.46% | 1-1 @ 11.7% 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.89% | 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.65% 0-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 32.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 47 |
2 | York City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 45 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 45 |
4 | Gateshead | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 40 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 34 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 34 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 34 |
9 | Rochdale | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
10 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 32 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 32 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
13 | Eastleigh | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 29 |
14 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 28 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
16 | Tamworth | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 26 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 22 |
18 | Fylde | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 22 |
19 | Woking | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 9 |
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