Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Halifax Town had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Halifax Town win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldershot Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Halifax Town | Draw | Aldershot Town |
35.87% ( -0.89) | 24.52% ( -0.04) | 39.61% ( 0.92) |
Both teams to score 59.42% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.53% ( 0.09) | 43.47% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.13% ( 0.09) | 65.87% ( -0.09) |
Halifax Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.12% ( -0.44) | 23.88% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.92% ( -0.63) | 58.08% ( 0.63) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.06% ( 0.49) | 21.94% ( -0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.78% ( 0.75) | 55.22% ( -0.75) |
Score Analysis |
Halifax Town | Draw | Aldershot Town |
2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.06% Total : 35.87% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 4.36% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.48% Total : 39.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 47 |
2 | York City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 45 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 45 |
4 | Gateshead | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 40 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 34 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 34 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 34 |
9 | Rochdale | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
10 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 32 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 32 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
13 | Eastleigh | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 29 |
14 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 28 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
16 | Tamworth | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 26 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 22 |
18 | Fylde | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 22 |
19 | Woking | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 9 |
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