Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 49.07%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Halifax Town | Draw | Aldershot Town |
49.07% ( -0.74) | 23.27% ( 0.24) | 27.66% ( 0.5) |
Both teams to score 59.97% ( -0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.92% ( -0.74) | 41.07% ( 0.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.53% ( -0.76) | 63.47% ( 0.76) |
Halifax Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.06% ( -0.55) | 16.94% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.99% ( -0.99) | 47.01% ( 0.98) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.2% ( -0.03) | 27.79% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.62% ( -0.04) | 63.38% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Halifax Town | Draw | Aldershot Town |
2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.07) Other @ 4.12% Total : 49.07% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 27.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 24 |
2 | York City | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 21 |
4 | Rochdale | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 20 |
5 | Gateshead | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 20 |
7 | Eastleigh | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 20 |
8 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 16 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 16 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
12 | Woking | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 14 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
15 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
16 | Tamworth | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 13 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 13 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 10 |
20 | Fylde | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 9 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 9 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 8 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 7 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 5 |
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