West Brom4 - 1Aldershot
Form, Standings, Stats
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League
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We said: West Bromwich Albion 2-0 Aldershot Town
Aldershot have beaten two League Two sides in this season's competition, but the step-up in class here will be big, and we are expecting West Brom to have too much quality for their National League opponents in Sunday's third-round contest in the FA Cup. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 70.15%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 12%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Aldershot Town |
70.15% ( -0.07) | 17.84% ( 0.02) | 12% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.34% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.87% ( 0.01) | 40.13% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.5% ( 0.01) | 62.5% ( -0.02) |
| West Bromwich Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.73% ( -0.02) | 10.27% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.35% ( -0.03) | 33.64% ( 0.03) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.1% ( 0.09) | 43.9% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.96% ( 0.07) | 80.04% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 2-0 @ 11.67% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.29% 4-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.15% ( -0)3-2 @ 3% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.89% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.71% ( 0)Other @ 4.37% Total : 70.15% | 1-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.93% Total : 17.84% | 0-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.24% Total : 12% |
