Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | Maidenhead United |
47.77% ( 0.01) | 24.39% ( 0.02) | 27.83% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 56.26% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.96% ( -0.08) | 46.04% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.65% ( -0.08) | 68.35% ( 0.08) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.64% ( -0.03) | 19.36% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.85% ( -0.05) | 51.15% ( 0.05) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.76% ( -0.06) | 30.24% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.6% ( -0.08) | 66.4% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | Maidenhead United |
1-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.32% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 47.77% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.39% | 0-1 @ 7% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.19% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0) Other @ 3.11% Total : 27.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 20 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 18 |
3 | Barnet | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 18 |
4 | Rochdale | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 17 |
5 | Gateshead | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 17 |
6 | Eastleigh | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 16 |
7 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 14 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
9 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 13 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 13 |
13 | Woking | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 13 |
14 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 12 |
15 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 12 |
16 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
17 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
18 | Boston UnitedBoston | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 8 |
19 | Tamworth | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 8 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 7 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 6 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 5 |
23 | Fylde | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 5 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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